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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12104/92747
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dc.creatorBoonman, Tjeerd M.-
dc.creatorJacobs, Jan P. A. M. j-
dc.creatorKuper, Gerard H.-
dc.date2017-07-01-
dc.date.accessioned2023-09-01T17:13:23Z-
dc.date.available2023-09-01T17:13:23Z-
dc.identifierhttps://econoquantum.cucea.udg.mx/index.php/EQ/article/view/7100-
dc.identifier10.18381/eq.v14i2.7100-
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12104/92747-
dc.descriptionThe Global Financial Crisis (GFC) has affected many regions including Latin America. This paper focuses on currency crises in Argentina and Brazil, the two largest economies in South America, and with a wide experience with currency crises. We estimate an Early Warning System, consisting of a static factor model and a multinomial ordered logit model, with monthly data for 1990-2007. Ex ante forecasts for 2008-2009 produce an increased probability of currency crises in the fall of 2008.Our model outcomes confirm that elements from earlier crises are useful to predict the currency crises during the GFC.en-US
dc.descriptionThe Global Financial Crisis (GFC) has affected many regions including Latin America. This paper focuses on currency crises in Argentina and Brazil, thetwo largest economies in South America, and with a wide experience with currency crises. We estimate an Early Warning System, consisting of a static factor model and a multinomial ordered logit model, with monthly data for 1990-2007. Ex ante forecasts for 2008-2009 produce an increased probability of currency crises in the fall of 2008. Our model outcomes confirm that elements from earlier crises are useful to predict the currency crises during the GFC.es-ES
dc.formatapplication/epub+zip-
dc.formatapplication/pdf-
dc.formatapplication/xml-
dc.languageeng-
dc.publisherUniversidad de Guadalajaraes-ES
dc.relationhttps://econoquantum.cucea.udg.mx/index.php/EQ/article/view/7100/6198-
dc.relationhttps://econoquantum.cucea.udg.mx/index.php/EQ/article/view/7100/6232-
dc.relationhttps://econoquantum.cucea.udg.mx/index.php/EQ/article/view/7100/6247-
dc.rightsDerechos de autor 2018 EconoQuantumes-ES
dc.sourceEconoQuantum; Vol. 14 Núm. 2 Segundo semestre 2017 Second semester; 47-68en-US
dc.sourceEconoQuantum; Vol. 14 Núm. 2 Segundo semestre 2017 Second semester; 47-68es-ES
dc.source2007-9869-
dc.source1870-6622-
dc.subjectGlobal financial crisises-ES
dc.subjectcurrency criseses-ES
dc.subjectearly warning systemses-ES
dc.subjectLatin Americaes-ES
dc.subjectstatic factor modeles-ES
dc.subjectordered logit modeles-ES
dc.subjectC25es-ES
dc.subjectG01es-ES
dc.subjectN26es-ES
dc.titleAn Early Warning System for currency crises in Argentina and Brazil 1990-2009en-US
dc.titleAn Early Warning System for currency crises in Argentina and Brazil 1990-2009es-ES
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/article-
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion-
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