Por favor, use este identificador para citar o enlazar este ítem: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12104/79828
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Campo DCValorLengua/Idioma
dc.contributor.advisorFigueroa Montaño, Arturo-
dc.contributor.authorAlarcón Aguilar, Tomás-
dc.date.accessioned2019-11-29T18:40:15Z-
dc.date.available2019-11-29T18:40:15Z-
dc.date.issued2015-
dc.identifier.urihttps://wdg.biblio.udg.mx-
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12104/79828-
dc.description.abstractSince London's 'The Great Smog' in the 1950's, there has been an mcrease m awareness of the harmful effects of bad air pollution in society (MOE, 2014). Approximately 4,000 deaths were attributed to the event and the government of the affected English capital, after establishing the roots of the cause, enacted the Clean Air Act in 1956 in order to combat the problem (MOE, 2014). Policies aimed at controlling emissions from industry and personal-use paved way for increased efforts globally, but interestingly, as the global urban population doubled - vehicle use increased; and so did air pollution levels (Brimblecombe, 2006). Today, there are more than 1.2 billion vehicles globally with estimates of 90% of air pollution in urban areas coming from these mobile sources (SEMADES, 2011; World Bank, 2013).-
dc.description.tableofcontentsTable of Contents ABSTRACT .................... ........................................................................ ........................ .................. i CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION .............................................................................................. 1 CHAPTER TWO: BACKGROUND ............................................................................................... 3 AIR POLLUTION ................................... .. ...................... .. ...................... .. ...................... ..... 3 CHAPTER THREE: OBJECTIVE AND HYPOTHESIS ................................................................ 5 CHAPTER FOUR: THEORY .......................................................................................................... 6 DEFINITION OF THE PROBLEM ......................................................................................... 6 CONTAMINANTS IN THE GLOBAL CONTEXT ................ .. ...................... .. ...................... ..... 6 Emission sources .......................................................................................................... 6 Ozone ........................................................................................................................... 7 Particulate Matter ........................................................................................................ 8 MEXICO .......................................................................................................................... 11 Mexican air quality standards with respect to international standards .................... 12 Guadalajara ............................................................................................................... 15 STATISTICAL METHODS TO PREDICT AIR QUALITY ....................................................... 16 Multiple linear regression ...................................................................................... 17 CHAPTER FIVE: AREA OF STUDY. ........................... ........................ ........................ ............... 19 GUADALAJARA ............................................................................................................... 19 Climate ofGuadalajara ............................................................................................. 19 CHAPTER SIX: METHODOLOGY ............................................................................................. 21 FORMATION AND QUALITY CONTROL OF THE DATA ... ....... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ......... 21 BASIC PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS ..................................................................................... 23 Stepwise mu/tiple linear regression ........................................................................... 24 R STATISTICAL PACKAGE. .............................................................................................. 25 CHAPTER SEVEN: RESULTS AND DISCUSSION .................................................................. 26 OZONE (03) ..................................................................................................................... 26 Levels of contamination - Miravalle .......................................................................... 28 Annual variance (2006-2007) ............. .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ......... 28 Monthly variance - January 2006 ......................................................................... 28 Monthly variance - June 2006 ............................................................................... 29 Levels of contamination - Tlaquepaque .................... ........................ ......................... 34 Annual variance (2006-2007) ................................................................................ 34 Monthly variance - January 2006 ......................................................................... 34 Monthly variance - June 2006 ............................................................................... 35 Levels of contamination - Vallarta ............................................................................ 40 Annual variance (2006-2007) ............................. .. ...................... .. ......................... 40 Monthly variance - January 2006 ......................................................................... 40 Monthly variance - June 2006 ............................................................................... 41 Mu/tiple linear regression ................................. ........ ........ ........ ........ ........ ........ ......... 46 Quality testing of the regression model ..................................................................... 4 7 Miravall e ................................................................................................................ 4 7 Tlaquepaque .......................................................................................................... 4 7 Vallarta .................................................................................................................. 48 Further results using an estimate of emissions ......... ........ ........ ........ ........ ........ ......... 50 Miravalle ............. .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ......... 50 Tlaquepaque .......................................................................................................... 50 Vallarta .................................................................................................................. 50 Results compared to other studies ............................................................................. 54 PARTICULATE MATTER (PM10) ....................................................................................... 55 Levels of contamination -Miravalle ....... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ......... 57 Annual variance (2006-2007) ................................................................................ 57 Monthly variance - January 2006 ......................................................................... 57 Monthly variance - June 2006 ...................... ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ......... 58 Levels of contamination - Tlaquepaque ..................................................................... 63 Annual variance (2006-2007) ................................................................................ 63 Monthly variance - January 2006 ......................................................................... 63 Monthly variance - June 2006 ............................................................................... 64 Levels of contamination - Vallarta ......... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ......... 69 Annual variance (2006-2007) ................................................................................ 69 Monthly variance - January 2006 ......................................................................... 69 Monthly variance - June 2006 .............. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ......... 70 Mu/tiple linear regression .......................................................................................... 75 Quality testing of the regression model ..................................................................... 7 6 Miravalle ................................................................................................................ 76 Tlaquepaque .......................................................................................................... 77 Vallarta ............................................................... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ......... 77 Further results using an estimate of emissions .......................................................... 79 Miravalle ................................................................................................................ 79 Tlaquepaque ....... .. ...................... .. ...................... .. ...................... .. ......................... 79 Vallarta .................................................................................................................. 79 Results compared to other studies .......... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ...... .. ......... 83 CHAPTEREIGHT: CONCLUSION AND FURTHER WORK ................................................... 84 FURTHER WORK ............................................................................................................. 86 BIBLIOGRAPHY .................................................................................................................................................... 88-
dc.formatapplication/PDF-
dc.language.isospa-
dc.publisherBiblioteca Digital wdg.biblio-
dc.publisherUniversidad de Guadalajara-
dc.rights.urihttps://wdg.biblio.udg.mx/politicasdepublicacion.php-
dc.titleAplicabilidad de un modelo estadístico para pronosticar niveles de contaminación por ozono y PM10 en Guadalajara, México-
dc.typeTesis de Maestria-
dc.rights.holderUniversidad de Guadalajara-
dc.rights.holderAlarcón Aguilar, Tomás-
dc.type.conacytmasterThesis-
dc.degree.nameMAESTRIA EN CIENCIAS EN HIDROMETEOROLOGÍA-
dc.degree.departmentCUCEI-
dc.degree.grantorUniversidad de Guadalajara-
dc.degree.creatorMAESTRO EN CIENCIAS EN HIDROMETEOROLOGÍA-
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